Location & Language

Zenfinex Global Limited regulated by the Financial Services Authority (FSA) of Seychelles (SD092)

Between Economic Challenges and the Unexpected Rise of German Stocks: A Look at the German Economy and the DAX Index

The latest German economic data still shows that the German economy is experiencing weakness, as:

  • The German Consumer Price Index (CPI) for November showed an annual growth of 2.2%, which is lower than the expected 2.3%, but higher than the previous reading of 2.0%.
  • The German ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for November declined to a contraction of 91.4, which is lower than the expected -86.0 and the previous reading of    -86.9.
  • The German ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for the German economy in November showed a growth of 7.4, which is lower than the expected 13.2 and the previous reading of 13.1.
  • The Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for November showed a contraction at 43.0 points, which is lower than the expected 43.2, but in line with the previous reading.
  • Retail sales on a monthly basis contracted by 1.5%, which is lower than the expected -0.5% and the previous reading of 1.6%.

However, what stands out is that despite this economic contraction and the negative factors surrounding Germany, especially politically, the picture for German stocks is completely opposite. The DAX index continues its upward trend, reaching 19,933 points yesterday, the highest level ever. It has risen by around 17% since the low of August 5, 2024, when it recorded 17,024 points, up to the peak of 19,933 points reached yesterday. It has also risen by about 18% since the beginning of the year, outperforming the French CAC40 index (-4%), the British FTSE100 index (8%), and the European Stoxx 600 index (7%). It closed yesterday at its highest level of 19,933 points, which could indicate the continuation of its upward trend in the coming period, which is surprising and completely contradictory to the economic trend.

It is worth mentioning that there is an important factor that has provided upward momentum for German stocks, which is the decline in the yield on 10-year German government bonds for the eighth consecutive day, where it recorded 2.03% yesterday, the lowest level since October 1, 2024.

It seems that technical indicators may support the DAX index in the upcoming period for several reasons:

  1. Golden Cross: A convergence between the 20-day moving average (in gray) standing at 19,275 and the 50-day moving average (in blue) standing at 19,291. Any upward crossover between them could signal the continuation of the DAX’s upward trend.
  2. Relative Strength Index (RSI): Currently stands at around 66 points, indicating positive momentum for the DAX.
  3. Positive Directional Indicator (DMI+): Currently at around 20 points, compared to the Negative Directional Indicator (DMI-) at around 13 points. We observe a large gap between these two indicators, indicating buying pressure on the DAX index. More importantly, the Average Directional Index (ADX) is at around 34 points, indicating that the momentum of this upward trend is strong.

Please note that this analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice. All trading involves risk.

Back

Popular Posts

Swiss National Bank Cuts Interest Rate to Zero… Will Negative Rates Return Soon?

Will the Bank of England Keep Rates Steady? Sterling in the Spotlight

Continued Weakness of the Turkish Lira Against the Dollar Amid Economic Slowdown

USD/NOK Pair Declines to Its Lowest Level Since January 30, 2023

Lorem Ipsum

Lorem ipsum dolor sit amet, consectetur adipiscing elit.

Here are some related articles you may find interesting:

Market Insights​

June 20, 2025

Swiss National Bank Cuts Interest Rate to Zero… Will Negative...

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) decided yesterday to cut interest rates by 25 basis points, as expected, from 0.25% to 0.0%, marking the sixth consecutive...

Market Insights​

June 19, 2025

Will the Bank of England Keep Rates Steady? Sterling in...

GBP/USD reached 1.3632 on Friday, June 13, 2025 — its highest level since February 21, 2022. The pair has climbed nearly 13% from its January...

Market Insights​

June 18, 2025

Continued Weakness of the Turkish Lira Against the Dollar Amid...

The USD/TRY exchange rate recorded a level of 39.5191 today — its highest level since March 19, 2025, when it reached around 41.00. The pair...

Market Insights​

June 17, 2025

USD/NOK Pair Declines to Its Lowest Level Since January 30,...

The USD/NOK pair continues its downward trend, recording 9.8642 yesterday — the lowest level since January 30, 2023. The pair has declined by approximately 13%...

Ready to Elevate Your Trading Journey?

Open a Taurex account and start trading today.

We’re Sorry

Access to tradetaurex.com
is unavailable in your region

tradetaurex.com is required to abide by global laws and therefore the information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States, Canada, North Korea, Iran, Myanmar, Belgium, Spain, France, Japan, South Korea or any particular countries and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in an country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

Live account Registration

1 Hour Trading Consultation

Chat on WhatsApp
This site is registered on wpml.org as a development site. Switch to a production site key to remove this banner.