By Samir Al Khoury,
Since the beginning of June, the Hang Seng and CSI300 indices have continued their upward trend for the second day in a row, recording 18,541 and 3,622 points, respectively.
Last week, the official manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) dipped to 49.5, lower than expectations (50.5) and the previous reading (50.4). However, the Caixin manufacturing PMI, a non-governmental survey, grew to 51.7 yesterday, exceeding expectations (51.6) and the previous reading (51.4).
Chinese stocks remain attractively valued compared to global peers like Japan and the US. For instance, the Hang Seng Index boasts a P/E ratio of approximately 9.
Analysts are watching closely for the release of China’s export/import data later this week, alongside US non-farm payroll (NFP) figures, the unemployment rate, and average hourly wages. These indicators are expected to have a direct impact on Chinese financial markets, particularly the stock market.
Year-to-date, the Hang Seng Index has gained roughly 8%. From its January 22nd low of 14,794 points, it climbed approximately 25% to its May 7th peak of 18,638 points. The next hurdle for the index is surpassing a key resistance level: the 20-day moving average, currently at 18,811 points. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has breached the neutral zone, currently sitting at 51 points, suggesting some upward momentum for the Hang Seng.
Please note that this analysis is provided for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment advice.
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